Warriors/Grizzlies

[greeme]

Dec 7, 2014 7:13:44 GMT -6 greeme said:

Dec 7, 2014 7:06:22 GMT -6 AuldDawg said:

Hmmmm...I'll have to double check my formula.

yup

without checking there is no way that eddie jones is right

[greeme]

in any case are we betting?
i'll go down to ts% 56

[AuldDawg]

So the $1000 bet is:
His salary will be worth it in 5 years if he's scoring 24 ppg, less than 2.8 topg, 56% true shooting percentage if he plays most of the season at PG.
If he plays most of the season at SG then 21 ppg, less than 2.2 topg with a 56% true shooting percentage.

Have I got that correct?

Again, for comparison sake, the numbers for the top 3 PG's and SG's this season as determined by All League selection:

Point Guards-
Nate Archibald 23.9 ppg, 1.6 topg, 54.6% TSP
Phil Chenier 20.0 ppg, 1.6 topg, 55.8% TSP
Gus Williams 17.6 ppg, 1.6 topg, 52.5% TSP

Shooting Guards-
Eddie Jones 28.5 ppg, 1.4 topg, 58.5% TSP
Eric Gordon 32.8 ppg, 2.5 topg, 55.9% TSP
Jamal Wilkes 24.4 ppg, 1.2 topg, 53.5% TSP

and Westbrook 13.5 ppg, 3.6 topg, 52.7% TSP

I'd still prefer to use PER as a basis of his worth in 5 years and yourkers suggestion of using ATO is a better option than simple TO's.

[greeme]

Dec 7, 2014 11:31:39 GMT -6 AuldDawg said:

So the $1000 bet is:
His salary will be worth it in 5 years if he's scoring 24 ppg, less than 2.8 topg, 56% true shooting percentage if he plays most of the season at PG.
If he plays most of the season at SG then 21 ppg, less than 2.2 topg with a 56% true shooting percentage.

Have I got that correct?

Again, for comparison sake, the numbers for the top 3 PG's and SG's this season as determined by All League selection:

Point Guards-
Nate Archibald 23.9 ppg, 1.6 topg, 54.6% TSP
Phil Chenier 20.0 ppg, 1.6 topg, 55.8% TSP
Gus Williams 17.6 ppg, 1.6 topg, 52.5% TSP

Shooting Guards-
Eddie Jones 28.5 ppg, 1.4 topg, 58.5% TSP
Eric Gordon 32.8 ppg, 2.5 topg, 55.9% TSP
Jamal Wilkes 24.4 ppg, 1.2 topg, 53.5% TSP

and Westbrook 13.5 ppg, 3.6 topg, 52.7% TSP

I'd still prefer to use PER as a basis of his worth in 5 years and yourkers suggestion of using ATO is a better option than simple TO's.

i don't like per because assists mean very little in this league and per gives too much weight to points over efficiency

So the $1000 bet is:
His salary will be worth it in 5 years if he's scoring 24 ppg, less than 2.8 topg, 56% true shooting percentage if he plays most of the season at PG.
If he plays most of the season at SG then 21 ppg, less than 2.2 topg with a 56% true shooting percentage.

[greeme]

btw - what was wrong with your formula?

[AuldDawg]

Dec 7, 2014 11:41:58 GMT -6 greeme said:

btw - what was wrong with your formula?

F'ing internet here this time of night if ridiculous.
I'll retype out what I responded with later and what was wrong was I was mistakenly adding in 3PA. doh!

[aceman034]

dangit, what am I going to do with Westbrooks contract, I'm strapped for cash....you guys are clueless.

This discussion shouldn't really be based around if Westbrook is worth his contract or not. It's a discussion of the trade.

Westbrook > Walton.
Westbrook's potential > Walton's potential.
And I needed another guard.

Whether or not you like Westbrooks contract, this is a good trade for Memphis. Russ is a few camps away from being a stud PG...

[greeme]

Dec 7, 2014 11:58:31 GMT -6 AuldDawg said:

Dec 7, 2014 11:41:58 GMT -6 greeme said:

btw - what was wrong with your formula?

F'ing internet here this time of night if ridiculous.
I'll retype out what I responded with later and what was wrong was I was mistakenly adding in 3PA. doh!

are you posting the bet

[aceman034]

Sam Dalembert, the throw in, was the best player in this deal...who I'd take over Divac...interesting what only a season later brings...